The recovery follows a tumultuous week that saw Bitcoin drop to a low of $76,173. The initial panic sparked a massive liquidation event in the derivatives market, wiping out over $1.5 billion in leveraged positions. US spot Bitcoin ETFs bore the brunt of the fallout, recording $643 million in net outflows on October 30—the largest single-day withdrawal since June. BlackRock’s IBIT led the exodus with $233.7 million in withdrawals, as investors braced for the impact of the exchange hack.
Technical indicators reveal a complex path to recovery. Bitcoin continues to trade below its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages, both clustered near the $80,000 mark. This region serves as a formidable barrier that buyers must reclaim to restore bullish momentum. Although the daily Relative Strength Index sits at 38.97, suggesting that sellers still control the broader trend, the four-hour MACD has registered a bullish crossover. This shift hints at waning selling pressure, though both lines remain anchored in negative territory.
Market participants are now closely watching the $78,219 resistance level. A sustained move above this point could clear a path toward $80,500, while failure to hold could invite a retest of the 100-day EMA at $77,761. Beyond the charts, the macro environment remains uncertain, with Coinbase Institutional analysts flagging potential headwinds from persistent inflation and cautious Federal Reserve policy. As Binance works to restore user assets—having already replaced roughly 95% of the stolen tokens—the market remains in a delicate state of stabilization.

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