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Canadian Housing Starts Decline as Construction Momentum Fades

Canada’s residential construction sector slowed in May, with housing starts dropping 6.1% to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 261,377 units. While the figure outperformed analyst predictions of 255,000, the decline signals persistent fragility in an industry that previously served as a primary driver for the national economy.

Canadian Housing Starts Decline as Construction Momentum Fades

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. reported the monthly dip alongside a 0.5% uptick in the six-month moving average, a trend measure suggesting the broader market remains in flux. Despite the monthly contraction, deputy chief economist Aled Ab Iorwerth noted that year-to-date figures remain marginally ahead of the previous year’s pace.

However, the outlook for future supply appears increasingly constrained. Beyond the immediate monthly data, a decline in approved but unstarted projects indicates that developers are pulling back. This caution aligns with findings from the Canadian Home Builders' Association, which reported that builder confidence hovered near record lows during the first quarter. Sentiment remains particularly negative regarding multi-family residential developments, reinforcing concerns that construction activity will remain uneven throughout the coming months.

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